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Palantir Vs. Big Bear AI

Palantir vs. BigBear.ai: AI Stock Showdown 2025

  /  February 9, 2025


In the chaotic carnival of artificial intelligence, two beasts emerge from the digital mist: BigBear.ai (BBAI) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). Both claim dominion over data, but their paths diverge in the labyrinth of strategy and performance.

Big Bear and Palantir Company Strategy

BigBear.ai prowls the defense sector, offering AI-powered solutions to the U.S. military and beyond. Their recent $165 million contract with the Department of Defense underscores this focus. However, their ambitions extend into commercial territories, aiming to translate battlefield intelligence into boardroom insights.

Palantir, the seasoned veteran, has long danced with government agencies, weaving complex data into actionable narratives. Now, they’re courting the commercial sector with fervor, boasting a 31% rise in commercial revenue to $372 million. Their strategy is clear: dominate both governmental and private arenas with their data prowess.

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Big Bear and Palantir Fundamentals

Financially, Palantir towers over BigBear.ai. In 2024, Palantir’s revenue surged to nearly $2 billion, driven by a 40% increase in government contracts. Their gross margins stand at an impressive 81.1%, reflecting efficient operations and strong market demand.

BigBear.ai, in contrast, reported revenues of $155 million in the same period, capturing a mere 0.25% of their estimated $80 billion total addressable market. Their gross margin lags at 26.99%, indicating challenges in scaling and profitability.

Big Bear and Palantir Technical Analysis

On the stock market battlefield, Palantir’s shares have experienced a meteoric rise, closing at $110.85, a testament to investor confidence. Analysts suggest that if current trends continue, the stock could reach $170 by late March.

BigBear.ai’s stock, while more volatile, has shown recent promise, closing at $8.59. However, some analysts caution that the stock is overvalued by 71%, urging investors to tread carefully.

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Final Call on Big Bear and Palantir

In this wild ride of AI ambitions, Palantir stands as the seasoned juggernaut, leveraging its deep government ties and expanding commercial footprint. BigBear.ai, though ambitious and with notable contracts, remains the underdog, grappling with profitability and market share. Investors would do well to heed the signs and navigate this landscape with both caution and curiosity.

Sources:

  1. BigBear.ai’s $165M DoD Contract
    https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/02/07/why-bigbearai-stock-is-soaring-again-friday/
  2. Palantir’s AI Growth and Market Position
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/palantir-seems-to-be-winning-the-ai-arms-race-with-huge-growth-zjsgbhr8v
  3. Palantir and BigBear.ai Revenue & Margins
    https://www.barchart.com/story/news/30830161/why-bigbearai-stock-is-soaring-again-friday
  4. BigBear.ai’s Market Struggles & Valuation
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4755415-bigbearai-the-big-ai-failure-strong-sell
  5. Palantir’s Stock Price Forecast
    https://www.investopedia.com/watch-these-palantirprice-levels-as-stock-jumps-on-ai-fueled-revenue-outlook-q4-earnings-8785402
  6. BigBear.ai’s Overvaluation Warning
    https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nyse/bbai/summary


Dave Crypto, Trading Coach
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dave is the founder of Dave Crypto Trading. He's been an active trader and investor since 1998. His mission is to make trading and investing in crypto and stocks accessible to everyone. Each year, he continues to help more people master the skills necessary to compound consistent gains in the markets.

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